Kategori arşivi: PrizmaBetim

Erdoğan’dan enflasyon mesajı: Ekonomi fırtınalı sulardan serin sulara doğru yol almakta

Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, bugün İstanbul’da TÜYAP Fuar Merkezi’nde düzenlenen Dünya Müslüman İş Alemi MÜSİAD Fuarı ve Uluslararası İş Forumu Kongresi’nde ekonomiye dair mesajlar verdi.

Erdoğan, 2023’te ‘felaketlere rağmen’ yüzde 5,1 oranında büyüme kaydettiklerini belirterek ekonomik büyüklüğün 1 trilyon 130 milyon dolara yükseldiğini belirterek “Kişi başına milli gelir 13 bin 243 dolara çıktı. Türkiye ekonomisi kesintisiz büyüyor” dedi.

Türkiye’nin küresel hizmet ihracatından aldığı payın yüzde 1,35’i bulduğunu, ekim ayı ihracatı rekorunun yakalandığını aktaran Erdoğan, “Eylül ayında yıllık istihdam 1 milyon 129 bin kişi artarak 32,8 milyon kişiye çıkt” ifadelerini kullandı.

‘Enflasyondaki düşüş hızlanarak devam edecek’

Cumhurbaşkanı, bütçe ve enflasyon mesajı verdi: “Bütçe açığını yüzde 4,9’a indirmeyi hedefliyoruz. Enflasyonda başlayan düşüş trendi hızlanarak devam edecek. Fahiş fiyatla mücadelemiz sürecek. Daha fazla para kazanmak için milletin lokmamsına uzanan elleri kırmakta en küçük bir tereddüt göstermeyeceğiz. 22 yıllık iktidarımızda bu konuda taviz vermedik, vermeyeceğiz.

Pembe tablolar çizmek niyetinde değilim ama en zor günler geride kaldı. Türk ekonomisi fırtınalı sulardan serin sulara doğru yol almakta. Allah’ın izni ile bundan sonra rüzgara karşı değil rüzgarı arkamıza alarak yürüyeceğiz. Bölgemizdeki çatışmalar, krizler çözüme kavuştukça ekonomimizdeki iyileşme daha devam edecek.

S&P’den otomobil üreticilerine: Kâr kaybına dikkat!

S&P, otomotiv sektörünün ABD’de başkan seçilen Donald Trump’ın otomobil ithalatına getirmeyi planladığı tarifelere hazırlandığını belirtti.

“ABD’nin Avrupa Birliği (AB) ve Birleşik Krallık’tan ithal ettiği hafif araçlara yüzde 20, Meksika ve Kanada’dan ithal ettiği araçlara ise yüzde 25 gümrük vergisi uygulanmasının, en kötü senaryoda, etkilenen Avrupalı ve ABD’li otomobil üreticilerinin toplam yıllık FAVÖK’lerinin yüzde 17’sine mal olabileceğini tahmin ediyoruz” açıklamasında bulunan S&P yetkilileri, orijinal ekipman üreticilerinin de tarife artışından etkilenmesinin beklendiğini vurguladı.

Hafifletici önlemlerin potansiyel olarak daha yüksek tarifeleri yönetilebilir hale getirmesinin beklendiğinin vurgulandığı açıklmada, gümrük tarifelerinin, Avrupa’da 2025’ten itibaren daha sıkı karbon düzenlemesinin ve Çin ile Avrupa’da daha güçlü rekabetten kaynaklanan kar baskısının bileşik etkilerinin not düşürme riskini artırabileceğine dikkati çekildi.

Ücret kesintisine itiraz: Volkswagen’de çalışanlar grev hazırlığında

Almanya merkezli Volkswagen firması, Çinli şirketler, elektrikli araçlara (EV) talebin düşmesi ve Alman ekonomisindeki daralma nedeniyle zor günler geçiriyor.

Şirket Almanya’daki üç üretim tesisini kapatmayı, on binlerce kişiyi de işten çıkarmayı planlıyor. Atılmayan işçilerden ise yüzde 10’luk maaş kesintisi kabul etmelerini istiyor.

İşçiler bu plana karşı. IG Metall sendikasının sözcüsü, işçilerin greve gitmelerini engelleyen yükümlülüğün 30 Kasım’da sona ermesinin ardından, pazartesi günü uyarı grevlerine başlayacaklarını, üyelerinin günde birkaç saat iş bırakacaklarını dile getirdi.

Grev kararı 300 bin çalışandan 120 binini kapsayacak. Grev Wolfsburg, Braunschweig, Hannover, Salzgitter, Emden ve Kassel’deki fabrikalarda ve bazı yan kuruluşlarda yapılacak.

Volkswagen ile sendika arasındaki son görüşmede anlaşma sağlanamazken, taraflar 9 Aralık’ta yine masaya oturacak.

Bitcoin Nears $100K, With Crypto Market Cap at Record $3.4T

Bitcoin (BTC) prices are a little over 1% away from reaching a landmark $100,000, close to 15 years after the asset was first issued.

BTC prices spiked above $99,200 early Friday, dipping to $98,600 before holding over $99,000 in Asian afternoon hours. Overall market capitalization stands at a record $3.4 trillion, adding 4.5% in the past 24 hours, mainly on BTC’s 2% jump (BTC is over 56% of the total market cap).

Spot BTC exchange-traded funds offered in the U.S. recorded over $1 billion in net inflows, data shows, led by BlackRock’s IBIT at $600 million in purchases. Fidelity’s FBTC recorded over $300 million inflows, with no outflows from any of the eleven ETFs.

Strength in BTC is leading to a rotation in other major tokens ahead of the weekend, buoyed by renewed bullish hopes about a crypto-friendly Trump administration that takes office in January.

Ether (ETH) is up nearly 9% in the past 24 hours, boosting various indexes that track the broader decentralized finance (DeFi) sector by at least 8%. Notable Ethereum-based memecoins such as mog (MOG) and pepe (PEPE) are up as much as 27% on their tendency to act as beta bets on ETH’s growth.

Solana’s SOL is up 8%, setting fresh highs above $260 amid exchange-trading fund (ETF) filings in the U.S. and continual usage of the blockchain for speculative trading. Cardano’s ADA is up 12%, the second-most gains among majors after XRP.

Elsewhere, XRP zoomed 25%, leading growth among major tokens, as SEC chair Gary Gensler announced he would step down in January, clearing headwinds for tokens related to U.S. companies.

Traders expect BTC prices to continue holding strong in the short term.

“We continue to see strong demand for BTC alongside further easing of monetary policy by global central banks, BTC prices are likely to remain supported as we approach the end of the year,” traders at QCP Capital said in a Friday broadcast. “Throughout the week, our desk observed aggressive demand in March and June Calls, signaling investors’ long-term bullish sentiment for next year.”

Deribit’s BTC futures expiring in March, June and September 2025 trade above $100,000. BTC call option at the $100,000 strike now boasts an open interest of over $2 billion, indicative of traders’ expectations of movement to the upside.

A short-term pullback from the $100,00 level can be expected, however, as multiple CoinDesk analyses noted earlier in the week.

Cardano’s ADA Leaps to 2.5-Year High of 90 Cents as Whale Holdings Exceed $12B

As bitcoin (BTC) gets closer to the $100,000 mark for the first time — it crossed $99,000 earlier Friday — capital is rotating into alternative cryptocurrencies, creating a buzz in the broader crypto market.

Amid the excitement, proof-of-stake smart-contract blockchain Cardano’s native cryptocurrency ada (ADA) is having its moment. The token has surged 10% in the past 24 hours, trading at 90 cents early Friday on Coinbase and other exchanges. That’s the highest price since May 2022, according to CoinDesk Indices data.

The price has risen 22% this week, taking the month-to-date gain to 152%. That has raised the token’s market capitalization to $30.85 billion, making it the world’s 10th-largest digital asset. In contrast, the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader crypto market, has advanced 14% this week and 58% this month.

ADA’s rally is accompanied by continued accumulation from whales, hefty crypto addresses with more than $10 million in the token. According to Tagus Capital, whales now hold over $12 billion in ADA.

On-chain activity confirms the involvement of whales and institutions, indicating that this rally could have staying power. Data from analytics firm IntoTheBlock shows the number of large transactions involving ADA has skyrocketed by 300% in two weeks.

It’s a sign of “heightened interest from institutional investors,” Tagus Capital said in a daily newsletter, noting the spike in large transactions. “Some of this momentum is sentiment-driven, as previously noted, with Cardano’s founder, Charles Hoskinson, hinting at potential collaborations with the Trump administration for crypto-friendly policies.”

Binance Boosts Compliance Staff By 34% Year-Over-Year, Citing Industry’s ‘Rapid Maturation’

Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, says it expects to have 645 full-time compliance employees on staff by the end of the year — a 34% increase from last November — as it continues to rapidly build out its compliance department.

Including contractors, the crypto exchange already has over 1,000 employees focused on compliance, according to a Friday press statement from Binance.

Binance’s intense focus on regulatory compliance is relatively new for the crypto exchange, which just one year ago, agreed to pay a massive $4.3 billion fine to various U.S. regulators for violating the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) and knowingly allowing users to skirt international sanctions. As part of Binance’s settlement, founder and then-CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao agreed to step down as CEO and was sentenced to four months in prison for violating the BSA.

Richard Teng, a former regulator in Singapore and the United Arab Emirates, took the helm at Binance after Zhao’s departure. He’s since been very vocal about turning the exchange into a model of regulatory compliance — something he sees as necessary to ensure the company is sustainable for the long term.

Though Teng’s short tenure as CEO has certainly accelerated Binance’s compliance efforts, the exchange began making an effort to be more compliant with regulators well before Zhao stepped down in November 2023. Tigran Gambaryan, Binance’s head of financial crime compliance, left the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in 2021 to join the exchange. Noah Perlman, Binance’s chief compliance officer, started in January 2023. In 2023, Binance increased its compliance spend by 36%.

“Our industry has entered a paradigm shift and new phase of maturation where regulatory compliance is an essential standard to user experience and protection, business success, and responsible growth,” Perlman said. “Binance has matured alongside regulators and other players throughout the years, and the continued growth of our compliance team and program are a testament to that and this shift in our industry which is set for strong sustainable growth.”

Some of Binance’s recent compliance hires include people with long careers in traditional finance and government.

Todd McElduff, Binance’s new enterprise compliance director, who will spearhead the exchange’s relationships with global law enforcement agencies, previously led the global financial crimes oversight division at PayPal. Before that, he was head of a financial crime division at Morgan Stanley.

Binance has also hired two special investigations specialists, Céline Inial for France and Caner Akyürek for Turkey, who both previously spent nearly 20 years in law enforcement in their respective countries.

“We are actively hiring for top compliance talent to strengthen our already industry-leading compliance program and team to match the demands of our rapidly maturing sector while global crypto adoption also grows rapidly,” Perlman said. “We are proud of leading the industry’s standards in protecting users and the growth of our compliance team ensures we continue to protect our global user base of over 240 million.”

UK to Draft a Regulatory Framework for Crypto, Stablecoins Early Next Year

The U.K. plans to draft a regulatory framework for the crypto industry by early next year, Economic Secretary Tulip Siddiq said at a conference in London on Thursday, Bloomberg reported.

Under the plans, stablecoins will no longer fall under the U.K.’s payments regime, Siddiq said at City & Financial Global’s Tokenisation Summit. Rules on staking will be included to prevent it being treated like a collective investment scheme.

The announcement follows months of uncertainty about the Labour government’s plans for the industry following its election in July. The previous Conservative government had put in place measures to treat crypto as a regulated activity in the Financial Services and Markets Act and had said that more rules would be coming for stablecoin and staking providers.

CoinDesk reached out to the Treasury for comment.

First Mover Americas: Rotation to Altcoins Has Started With Gensler’s Exit Date Set

This article originally appeared in First Mover, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter, putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day.

Latest Prices

CoinDesk 20 Index: 3,273.75 +7.19%

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Gold: $2,707.27 +1.42%

Nikkei 225: 38,283.85 +0.68%

Top Stories

Bitcoin is inching closer to the $100,000 mark, though its momentum has slowed. It clinched another record on Thursday at $99,500, dipping below $99,000 heading into the U.S. open. BTC has risen 1% over the past 24 hours, while the broad-market CoinDesk 20 Index gained over 7%. Most alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) in the CD20 outperformed BTC, an early sign of capital rotation into smaller, riskier tokens as bitcoin’s pace stalls. The $100,000 price point poses a significant resistance level, where investors might take profits on their investments. Still, there’s a possibility of BTC rallying to $115,000 by Christmas, supported by broadening stablecoin supply, inflows into ETFs and bullish options positioning on BlackRock’s spot BTC ETF (IBIT), 10x Research said in a Friday note.

Altcoins are taking their moment to shine as regulatory headwinds look poised to clear. Gary Gensler, the chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to leave on Jan. 20, President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration date. Industry participants anticipate that the agency’s new leadership will be more open to approving investment products for smaller tokens and allowing staking for ETFs. XRP led the rally, gaining 33% in 24 hours and Cardano’s ADA rose over 15%. Solana’s native token (SOL) hit an all-time high above $260, the first of the large-cap altcoins to surpass the 2021 market peaks.

Financial service giant Charles Schwab wants to directly offer crypto to users, its incoming CEO said,a sign that U.S. institutions are increasingly emboldened by an expected regulatory sea-change towards digital assets. “We’ve been waiting on a change in the regulatory environment … and we’re confident that we think that will come in short order,” Rick Wurster said in an interview. Also, digital asset manager Bitwise officially joined the race to launch a spot-based solana ETF in the U.S.

Chart of the Day

– Omkar Godbole

MicroStrategy Falls 16% Despite New Bitcoin Record as Some Question Valuation

UK to Draft a Regulatory Framework for Crypto, Stablecoins Early Next Year

Binance Boosts Compliance Staff by 34% Year-Over-Year, Citing Industry’s ‘Rapid Maturation’

Polymarket Blocks French Users Amid Gambling Inquiry

Polymarket blocked French users on Friday, weeks after reports that the country’s government was investigating the prediction markets juggernaut for gambling law compliance.

The ban was not reflected in Polymarket’s terms of service at press time, but on Friday a reporter using a VPN attempted to access the website from a French server and ran into a digital blockade.

Polymarket fell into the crosshairs of France’s national gaming authority the ANJ after a French trader placed massive bets on Donald Trump to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential election.

The fresh ban was first highlighted on social media by French crypto news site The Big Whale.

Polymarket did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Neither did the ANJ.

Coinbase App Gets Left Behind as Memecoin Craze Drives Traders On-Chain

It’s long been a cryptocurrency maxim that Coinbase’s (COIN) ranking in app store downloads signals how much retail traders are participating in a bull market. Well, the bull run’s here, and Coinbase isn’t climbing charts like it used to.

Instead, Phantom, a harder-to-use crypto wallet, has leapfrogged the better-known centralized exchange. At press time, Phantom was in seventh place among free applications — between Temu and Google — on Apple’s U.S. App Store, well ahead of Coinbase at 27th.

The flip is challenging expectations of what mainstream traders can tolerate during their first days in crypto. While the bitcoin community in particular has always emphasized “being your own bank,” other parts of the cryptoverse, like Coinbase, have bet on a more accessible experience.

Memecoin mania is blowing that up. Coinbase and other established exchanges don’t list the bottom-of-the-barrel, hours-old, exceptionally risky yet sometimes tremendously lucrative (if you don’t lose your shirt, as most do) joke tokens that new traders want to bet on. To get those, they gotta go on-chain with something like Phantom.

“Traditional centralized exchanges can’t keep up with all of the new on-chain paradigms fast enough,” said Phantom CEO Brandon Millman in an email.

Chill Guy, TikTok

In the past week, one memecoin in particular, Chill Guy, caught plenty of attention on TikTok and even more bids on-chain. Bolstered by a coordinated social media marketing campaign, CHILLGUY — whose mascot is, well, a chill-looking dog — soared in days from a market cap of basically nothing to as high as $500 million.

Buying CHILLGUY and other fresh memecoins requires a bit more effort than, say, buying bitcoin (BTC) on Coinbase. Traders must navigate decentralized exchanges and learn to futz with finicky order settings just to get the prices they want. It’s a clunky setup with a high learning curve compared to the exchanges.

Whether TikTok is primarily responsible for driving newcomers on-chain is an open question. The video app’s exceptionally niche crypto scene doesn’t have any truly standout videos racking up millions of views, as those de rigueur dance routines often do. More common are the oodles of low-viewership crypto bros crowing about their gazillionaire designs. A handful also teach their followers how to download Phantom.

Coinbase is onboarding memecoins, to be sure. In the past week, it greenlit FLOKI and PEPE, as well as WIF for German traders. Those tokens have been around a relatively long time and accrued market caps in the billions of dollars, making them more stable (relatively speaking) than, say, DIDDYOIL, a memecoin only accessible to traders who operate on-chain.

“Our mission is to increase economic freedom in the world, and we know we can’t do it alone,” a spokesperson for Coinbase said. “We believe a rising tide raises all boats, and we are thrilled to see more people engaging on-chain and with crypto over the last few weeks.”

While the Coinbase exchange itself is only tiptoeing into the memecoin space, the company at large is attempting to foster — and capture — such activity with its layer-2 network, Base. Base’s memecoin scene isn’t at the level of Solana (SOL), but it still sees millions of dollars worth of volume each day.

“We’re focused on making on-chain faster (transactions anywhere across the globe in seconds), cheaper (with typical Base fees of less than 1 cent) and easier to use, so on-chain technology is accessible to anyone, anywhere in the world,” the spokesperson said.

“We’re looking forward to bringing a billion people on-chain.”